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Suppose scores on exams in statistics are normally distributed with an unknown population mean and a population standard deviation of three points. A random sample of 36 scores is taken and gives a sample mean (sample mean score) of 68. Find a confidence interval estimate for the population mean exam score (the mean score on all exams).

Find a 90% confidence interval for the true (population) mean of statistics exam scores.

Solution b

Using a calculator, we find the confidence interval to be (to three decimal places)(67.178, 68.822).

Interpretation

We estimate with 90% confidence that the true population mean exam score for all statistics students is between 67.18 and 68.82.

Explanation of 90% confidence level

Ninety percent of all confidence intervals constructed in this way contain the true mean statistics exam score. For example, if we constructed 100 of these confidence intervals, we would expect 90 of them to contain the true population mean exam score.

Try it

Suppose average pizza delivery times are normally distributed with an unknown population mean and a population standard deviation of six minutes. A random sample of 28 pizza delivery restaurants is taken and has a sample mean delivery time of 36 minutes.

Find a 90% confidence interval estimate for the population mean delivery time.

(34.1347, 37.8653)

The Specific Absorption Rate (SAR) for a cell phone measures the amount of radio frequency (RF) energy absorbed by the user’s body when using the handset. Every cell phone emits RF energy. Different phone models have different SAR measures. To receive certification from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) for sale in the United States, the SAR level for a cell phone must be no more than 1.6 watts per kilogram. [link] shows the highest SAR level for a random selection of cell phone models as measured by the FCC.

Phone Model SAR Phone Model SAR Phone Model SAR
Apple iPhone 4S 1.11 LG Ally 1.36 Pantech Laser 0.74
BlackBerry Pearl 8120 1.48 LG AX275 1.34 Samsung Character 0.5
BlackBerry Tour 9630 1.43 LG Cosmos 1.18 Samsung Epic 4G Touch 0.4
Cricket TXTM8 1.3 LG CU515 1.3 Samsung M240 0.867
HP/Palm Centro 1.09 LG Trax CU575 1.26 Samsung Messager III SCH-R750 0.68
HTC One V 0.455 Motorola Q9h 1.29 Samsung Nexus S 0.51
HTC Touch Pro 2 1.41 Motorola Razr2 V8 0.36 Samsung SGH-A227 1.13
Huawei M835 Ideos 0.82 Motorola Razr2 V9 0.52 SGH-a107 GoPhone 0.3
Kyocera DuraPlus 0.78 Motorola V195s 1.6 Sony W350a 1.48
Kyocera K127 Marbl 1.25 Nokia 1680 1.39 T-Mobile Concord 1.38

Find a 98% confidence interval for the true (population) mean of the Specific Absorption Rates (SARs) for cell phones. Assume that the population standard deviation is σ = 0.337.

Solution b

Using a calculator, we find the confidence interval to be (to three decimal places) (0.881, 1.167).

Try it

[link] shows a different random sampling of 20 cell phone models. Use this data to calculate a 93% confidence interval for the true mean SAR for cell phones certified for use in the United States. As previously, assume that the population standard deviation is σ = 0.337.

Phone Model SAR Phone Model SAR
Blackberry Pearl 8120 1.48 Nokia E71x 1.53
HTC Evo Design 4G 0.8 Nokia N75 0.68
HTC Freestyle 1.15 Nokia N79 1.4
LG Ally 1.36 Sagem Puma 1.24
LG Fathom 0.77 Samsung Fascinate 0.57
LG Optimus Vu 0.462 Samsung Infuse 4G 0.2
Motorola Cliq XT 1.36 Samsung Nexus S 0.51
Motorola Droid Pro 1.39 Samsung Replenish 0.3
Motorola Droid Razr M 1.3 Sony W518a Walkman 0.73
Nokia 7705 Twist 0.7 ZTE C79 0.869

x ¯ = 0.940

  α 2 = 1 C L 2 = 1 0.93 2 = 0.035

Z 0.035 = 1.812

E B M = ( z 0.035 ) ( σ n ) = ( 1.812 ) ( 0.337 20 ) = 0.1365

x ¯ EBM = 0.940 – 0.1365 = 0.8035

x ¯ + EBM = 0.940 + 0.1365 = 1.0765

We estimate with 93% confidence that the true SAR mean for the population of cell phones in the United States is between 0.8035 and 1.0765 watts per kilogram.

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Source:  OpenStax, Statistics i - math1020 - red river college - version 2015 revision a - draft 2015-10-24. OpenStax CNX. Oct 24, 2015 Download for free at http://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11891/1.8
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