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This chapter covers additional principles of probability. After completing this chapter students should be able to: find the probability of a binomial experiment; find the probabilities using Bayes' Formula; find the expected value or payoff in a game of chance; find the probabilities using tree diagrams.

Binomial probability

Do the following problems using the binomial probability formula.

A coin is tossed ten times. Find the probability of getting six heads and four tails.

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A family has three children. Find the probability of having one boy and two girls.

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What is the probability of getting three aces(ones) if a die is rolled five times?

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A baseball player has a .250 batting average. What is the probability that he will have three hits in five times at bat?

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A basketball player has an 80% chance of sinking a basket on a free throw. What is the probability that he will sink at least three baskets in five free throws?

0.9421

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With a new flu vaccination, 85% of the people in the high risk group can go through the entire winter without contracting the flu. In a group of six people who were vaccinated with this drug, what is the probability that at least four will not get the flu?

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A transistor manufacturer has known that 5% of the transistors produced are defective. What is the probability that a batch of twenty five will have two defective?

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It has been determined that only 80% of the people wear seat belts. If a police officer stops a car with four people, what is the probability that at least one person will not be wearing a seat belt?

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What is the probability that a family of five children will have at least three boys?

0.5

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What is the probability that a toss of four coins will yield at most two heads?

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A telemarketing executive has determined that for a particular product, 20% of the people contacted will purchase the product. If 10 people are contacted, what is the probability that at most 2 will buy the product?

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To the problem: "Five cards are dealt from a deck of cards, find the probability that three of them are kings," the following incorrect answer was offered by a student.

5C3 1 / 13 3 12 / 13 2 size 12{5C3 left (1/"13" right ) rSup { size 8{3} } left ("12"/"13" right ) rSup { size 8{2} } } {}

What change would you make in the wording of the problem for the given answer to be correct?

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Bayes' formula

Use both tree diagrams and Bayes' formula to solve the following problems.

Jar I contains five red and three white marbles, and Jar II contains four red and two white marbles. A jar is picked at random and a marble is drawn. Draw a tree diagram below, and find the following probabilities.

  1. P marble is red size 12{P left ("marble is red" right )} {}

  2. P It came from Jar II given that the marble drawn is white size 12{P left ("It came from Jar II given that the marble drawn is white" right )} {}

  3. P Red Jar I size 12{P left ("Red " \lline " Jar I" right )} {}

  1. 0.6458
  2. 0.4706
  3. 0.625

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In Mr. Symons' class, if a person does his homework most days, his chance of passing the course is 90%. On the other hand, if a person does not do his homework most days his chance of passing the course is only 20%. Mr. Symons claims that 80% of his students do their homework on a regular basis. If a student is chosen at random from Mr. Symons' class, find the following probabilities.

  1. P the student passes the course size 12{P left ("the student passes the course" right )} {}

  2. P the student did homework the student passes the course size 12{P left ("the student did homework " \lline " the student passes the course" right )} {}

  3. P the student passes the course the student did homework size 12{P left ("the student passes the course " \lline " the student did homework" right )} {}

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Questions & Answers

if three forces F1.f2 .f3 act at a point on a Cartesian plane in the daigram .....so if the question says write down the x and y components ..... I really don't understand
Syamthanda Reply
hey , can you please explain oxidation reaction & redox ?
Boitumelo Reply
hey , can you please explain oxidation reaction and redox ?
Boitumelo
for grade 12 or grade 11?
Sibulele
the value of V1 and V2
Tumelo Reply
advantages of electrons in a circuit
Rethabile Reply
we're do you find electromagnetism past papers
Ntombifuthi
what a normal force
Tholulwazi Reply
it is the force or component of the force that the surface exert on an object incontact with it and which acts perpendicular to the surface
Sihle
what is physics?
Petrus Reply
what is the half reaction of Potassium and chlorine
Anna Reply
how to calculate coefficient of static friction
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how to calculate static friction
Lisa
How to calculate a current
Tumelo
how to calculate the magnitude of horizontal component of the applied force
Mogano
How to calculate force
Monambi
a structure of a thermocouple used to measure inner temperature
Anna Reply
a fixed gas of a mass is held at standard pressure temperature of 15 degrees Celsius .Calculate the temperature of the gas in Celsius if the pressure is changed to 2×10 to the power 4
Amahle Reply
How is energy being used in bonding?
Raymond Reply
what is acceleration
Syamthanda Reply
a rate of change in velocity of an object whith respect to time
Khuthadzo
how can we find the moment of torque of a circular object
Kidist
Acceleration is a rate of change in velocity.
Justice
t =r×f
Khuthadzo
how to calculate tension by substitution
Precious Reply
hi
Shongi
hi
Leago
use fnet method. how many obects are being calculated ?
Khuthadzo
khuthadzo hii
Hulisani
how to calculate acceleration and tension force
Lungile Reply
you use Fnet equals ma , newtoms second law formula
Masego
please help me with vectors in two dimensions
Mulaudzi Reply
how to calculate normal force
Mulaudzi
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Source:  OpenStax, Applied finite mathematics. OpenStax CNX. Jul 16, 2011 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col10613/1.5
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