Frequently, we observe a value of some random variable, but are really interested in a value derived from this by a function rule. If X is a random variable and g is a reasonable function (technically, a Borel function), then Z=g(X)is a new random variable which has the value g(t) for any ω such that X(ω)=t. Thus Z(ω)=g(X(ω)). Suppose we have the distribution for X. How can we determine P(Z∈M), the probability Z takes a value in the set M?
Mapping approach. Simply find the amount of probability mass mapped into the set M by the random variable X. In the absolutely continuous case, integrate the density function for X over the set M. In the discrete case, as an alternative, select those possible values for X which are in the set M and add their probabilities.For a Borel function g and set M, determine the set N of all those t which are mapped into M, then determine the probability X is in N as in the previous case.
Introduction
Frequently, we observe a value of some random variable, but are really interested
in a value derived from this by a function rule. If
X is a random variable and
g is
a reasonable function (technically, a
Borel function ), then
is a new random
variable which has the value
for any
ω such that
.
Thus
.
The problem; an approach
We consider, first, functions of a single random variable. A wide variety of functions
are utilized in practice.
A quality control problem
In a quality control check on a production line for ball bearings it may be easier to weigh the
balls than measure the diameters. If we can assume true spherical shape and
w is the weight, then diameter is
, where
k is a factor depending upon the
formula for the volume of a sphere, the units of measurement, and the density of the steel.Thus, if
X is the weight of the sampled ball, the desired random variable is
.
Got questions? Get instant answers now!
Price breaks
The cultural committee of a student organization has arranged a special deal
for tickets to a concert. The agreement is that the organization will purchase ten ticketsat $20 each (regardless of the number of individual buyers). Additional tickets are
available according to the following schedule:
- 11-20, $18 each
- 21-30, $16 each
- 31-50, $15 each
- 51-100, $13 each
If the number of purchasers is a random variable
X , the total cost (in dollars) is
a random quantity
described by
The function rule is more complicated than in
[link] , but the essential problem is the same.
Got questions? Get instant answers now!
The problem
If
X is a random variable, then
is a new random variable.
Suppose we have the distribution for
X . How can we determine
, the probability
Z takes a value in the set
M ?
An approach to a solution
We consider two equivalent approaches
- To find
.
-
Mapping approach . Simply find the amount of probability mass mapped into
the set
M by the random variable
X .
- In the absolutely continuous case, calculate
.
- In the discrete case, identify those values
t
i of
X which are in the set
M and add
the associated probabilities.
-
Discrete alternative . Consider each value
t
i of
X . Select those
which meet the defining conditions for
M and add the associated probabilities. This
is the approach we use in the MATLAB calculations. Note that it isnot necessary to describe geometrically the set
M ; merely use the defining conditions.
- To find
.
-
Mapping approach . Determine the set
N of all those
t which are mapped into
M by the function
g . Now if
, then
, and if
, then
. Hence
Since these are the same event, they must have the same probability. Once
N is identified,
determine
in the usual manner (see part a, above).
-
Discrete alternative . For each possible value
t
i of
X , determine
whether
meets the defining condition for
M . Select those
t
i which do and
add the associated probabilities.