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trialmatch.m Estimates the probability of matches in n independent trials from identical distributions. The sample size and number of trials mustbe kept relateively small to avoid exceeding available memory.

% TRIALMATCH file trialmatch.m Estimates probability of matches % in n independent trials from identical distributions% Version of 8/20/97 % Estimates the probability of one or more matches% in a random selection from n identical distributions % with a small number of possible values% Produces a supersample of size N = n*ns, where % ns is the number of samples. Samples are separated.% Each sample is sorted, and then tested for differences % between adjacent elements. Matches are indicated by% zero differences between adjacent elements in sorted sample. X = input('Enter the VALUES in the distribution ');PX = input('Enter the PROBABILITIES '); c = length(X);n = input('Enter the SAMPLE SIZE n '); ns = input('Enter the number ns of sample runs ');N = n*ns; % Length of supersample U = rand(1,N); % Vector of N random numbersT = dquant(X,PX,U); % Supersample obtained with quantile function; % the function dquant determines quantile% function values for random number sequence U ex = sum(T)/N; % Sample averageEX = dot(X,PX); % Population mean vx = sum(T.^2)/N - ex^2; % Sample varianceVX = dot(X.^2,PX) - EX^2; % Population variance A = reshape(T,n,ns); % Chops supersample into ns samples of size nDS = diff(sort(A)); % Sorts each sample m = sum(DS==0)>0; % Differences between elements in each sample % -- Zero difference iff there is a matchpm = sum(m)/ns; % Fraction of samples with one or more matches d = arrep(c,n);p = PX(d); p = reshape(p,size(d)); % This step not needed in version 5.1ds = diff(sort(d))==0; mm = sum(ds)>0; m0 = find(1-mm);pm0 = p(:,m0); % Probabilities for arrangements with no matches P0 = sum(prod(pm0));disp('The sample is in column vector T') % Displays of results disp(['Sample average ex = ', num2str(ex),]) disp(['Population mean E(X) = ',num2str(EX),]) disp(['Sample variance vx = ',num2str(vx),]) disp(['Population variance V(X) = ',num2str(VX),]) disp(['Fraction of samples with one or more matches pm = ', num2str(pm),]) disp(['Probability of one or more matches in a sample Pm = ', num2str(1-P0),])
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Distributions

comb.m function y = comb(n,k) Calculates binomial coefficients. k may be a matrix of integers between 0 and n . The result y is a matrix of the same dimensions.

function y = comb(n,k) % COMB y = comb(n,k) Binomial coefficients% Version of 12/10/92 % Computes binomial coefficients C(n,k)% k may be a matrix of integers between 0 and n % result y is a matrix of the same dimensionsy = round(gamma(n+1)./(gamma(k + 1).*gamma(n + 1 - k)));
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ibinom.m Binomial distribution — individual terms. We have two m-functions ibinom and cbinom for calculating individual and cumulative terms, P ( S n = k ) and P ( S n k ) , respectively.

P ( S n = k ) = C ( n , k ) p k ( 1 - p ) n - k and P ( S n k ) = r = k n P ( S n = r ) 0 k n
For these m-functions, we use a modification of a computation strategy employed by S. Weintraub: Tables of the Cumulative Binomial Probability Distribution for Small Values of p , 1963. The book contains a particularly helpful error analysis, written by Leo J. Cohen. Experimentation with sums and expectations indicates aprecision for ibinom and cbinom calculations that is better than 10 - 10 for n = 1000 and p from 0.01 to 0.99. A similar precision holds for values of n up to 5000, provided n p or n q are limited to approximately 500. Above this value for n p or n q , the computations break down. For individual terms, function y = ibinom(n,p,k) calculates the probabilities for n a positive integer, k a matrix of integers between 0 and n . The output is a matrix of the corresponding binomial probabilities.

function y = ibinom(n,p,k) % IBINOM y = ibinom(n,p,k) Individual binomial probabilities% Version of 10/5/93 % n is a positive integer; p is a probability% k a matrix of integers between 0 and n % y = P(X>=k) (a matrix of probabilities) if p>0.5 a = [1 ((1-p)/p)*ones(1,n)]; b = [1 n:-1:1]; c = [1 1:n]; br = (p^n)*cumprod(a.*b./c);bi = fliplr(br); elsea = [1 (p/(1-p))*ones(1,n)];b = [1 n:-1:1];c = [1 1:n];bi = ((1-p)^n)*cumprod(a.*b./c); endy = bi(k+1);
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Questions & Answers

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Source:  OpenStax, Applied probability. OpenStax CNX. Aug 31, 2009 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col10708/1.6
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