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Refer to the previous problem . Suppose that 100 people with tax returns over $25,000 are randomly picked. We are interested in the number of people audited in 1 year. One way to solve this problem is by using the Binomial Distribution. Since n is large and p is small, another discrete distribution could be used to solve the following problems. Solve the following questions (d-f) using that distribution.

  • How many are expected to be audited?
  • Find the probability that no one was audited.
  • Find the probability that more than 2 were audited.
  • 2
  • 0.1353
  • 0.3233

Suppose that a technology task force is being formed to study technology awareness among instructors. Assume that 10 people will be randomly chosen to be on the committee from a group of 28 volunteers, 20 who are technically proficient and 8 who are not. We are interested in the number on the committee who are not technically proficient.

  • How many instructors do you expect on the committee who are not technically proficient?
  • Find the probability that at least 5 on the committee are not technically proficient.
  • Find the probability that at most 3 on the committee are not technically proficient.

Refer back to Exercise 4.15.12 . Solve this problem again, using a different, though still acceptable, distribution.

  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of seniors that participated in after-school sports all 4 years of high school
  • 0, 1, 2, 3,... 60
  • X ~ P ( 4 . 8 ) size 12{X "~" P \( 4 "." 8 \) } {}
  • 4.8
  • Yes
  • 4

Suppose that 9 Massachusetts athletes are scheduled to appear at a charity benefit. The 9 are randomly chosen from 8 volunteers from the Boston Celtics and 4 volunteers from the New England Patriots. We are interested in the number of Patriots picked.

  • Is it more likely that there will be 2 Patriots or 3 Patriots picked?

On average, Pierre, an amateur chef, drops 3 pieces of egg shell into every 2 batters of cake he makes. Suppose that you buy one of his cakes.

  • On average, how many pieces of egg shell do you expect to be in the cake?
  • What is the probability that there will not be any pieces of egg shell in the cake?
  • Let’s say that you buy one of Pierre’s cakes each week for 6 weeks. What is the probability that there will not be any egg shell in any of the cakes?
  • Based upon the average given for Pierre, is it possible for there to be 7 pieces of shell in the cake? Why?
  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of shell pieces in one cake
  • 0, 1, 2, 3,...
  • X ~ P ( 1 . 5 ) size 12{X "~" P \( 1 "." 5 \) } {}
  • 1.5
  • 0.2231
  • 0.0001
  • Yes

It has been estimated that only about 30% of California residents have adequate earthquake supplies. Suppose we are interested in the number of California residents we must survey until we find a resident who does not have adequate earthquake supplies.

  • What is the probability that we must survey just 1 or 2 residents until we find a California resident who does not have adequate earthquake supplies?
  • What is the probability that we must survey at least 3 California residents until we find a California resident who does not have adequate earthquake supplies?
  • How many California residents do you expect to need to survey until you find a California resident who does not have adequate earthquake supplies?
  • How many California residents do you expect to need to survey until you find a California resident who does have adequate earthquake supplies?

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Source:  OpenStax, Collaborative statistics for mt230. OpenStax CNX. Aug 18, 2011 Download for free at http://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11345/1.2
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