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The average number of children a Spanish woman has in her lifetime is 1.47. Suppose that one Spanish woman is randomly chosen. ( http://www.typicallyspanish.com/news/publish/article_4897.shtml ).

  • Find the probability that she has no children.
  • Find the probability that she has fewer children than the Spanish average.
  • Find the probability that she has more children than the Spanish average .
  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of children for a Spanish woman
  • 0, 1, 2, 3,...
  • X ~ P(1.47)
  • 0.2299
  • 0.5679
  • 0.4321

Fertile (female) cats produce an average of 3 litters per year. (Source: The Humane Society of the United States) . Suppose that one fertile, female cat is randomly chosen. In one year, find the probability she produces:

  • No litters.
  • At least 2 litters.
  • Exactly 3 litters.

A consumer looking to buy a used red Miata car will call dealerships until she finds a dealership that carries the car. She estimates the probability that any independent dealership will have the car will be 28%. We are interested in the number of dealerships she must call.

  • On average, how many dealerships would we expect her to have to call until she finds one that has the car?
  • Find the probability that she must call at most 4 dealerships.
  • Find the probability that she must call 3 or 4 dealerships.
  • X size 12{X} {} = the number of dealers she calls until she finds one with a used red Miata
  • 1, 2, 3,...
  • X ~ G(0.28)
  • 3.57
  • 0.7313
  • 0.2497

Suppose that the probability that an adult in America will watch the Super Bowl is 40%. Each person is considered independent. We are interested in the number of adults in America we must survey until we find one who will watch the Super Bowl.

  • How many adults in America do you expect to survey until you find one who will watch the Super Bowl?
  • Find the probability that you must ask 7 people.
  • Find the probability that you must ask 3 or 4 people.

A group of Martial Arts students is planning on participating in an upcoming demonstration. 6 are students of Tae Kwon Do; 7 are students of Shotokan Karate. Suppose that 8 students are randomly picked to be in the first demonstration. We are interested in the number of Shotokan Karate students in that first demonstration. Hint: Use the Hypergeometric distribution. Look in the Formulas section of 4: Discrete Distributions and in the Appendix Formulas.

  • How many Shotokan Karate students do we expect to be in that first demonstration?
  • Find the probability that 4 students of Shotokan Karate are picked for the first demonstration.
  • Suppose that we are interested in the Tae Kwan Do students that are picked for the first demonstration. Find the probability that all 6 students of Tae Kwan Do are picked for the first demonstration.
  • 4.31
  • 0.4079
  • 0.0163

The chance of a IRS audit for a tax return with over $25,000 in income is about 2% per year. We are interested in the expected number of audits a person with that income has in a 20 year period. Assume each year is independent.

  • How many audits are expected in a 20 year period?
  • Find the probability that a person is not audited at all.
  • Find the probability that a person is audited more than twice.

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Source:  OpenStax, Engr 2113 ece math. OpenStax CNX. Aug 27, 2010 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col11224/1.1
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