The student will use theoretical and empirical methods to estimate probabilities.
The student will appraise the differences between the two estimates.
The student will demonstrate an understanding of long-term relative frequencies.
Do the experiment
Count out 40 mixed-color M&Ms® which is approximately one small bag’s worth. Record the number of each color in
[link] . Use the information from this table to complete
[link] . Next, put the M&Ms in a cup. The experiment is to pick two M&Ms, one at a time. Do
not look at them as you pick them. The first time through, replace the first M&M before picking the second one. Record the results in the “With Replacement” column of
[link] . Do this 24 times. The second time through, after picking the first M&M, do
not replace it before picking the second one. Then, pick the second one. Record the results in the “Without Replacement” column section of
[link] . After you record the pick, put
both M&Ms back. Do this a total of 24 times, also. Use the data from
[link] to calculate the empirical probability questions. Leave your answers in unreduced fractional form. Do
not multiply out any fractions.
Population
Color
Quantity
Yellow (
Y )
Green (
G )
Blue (
BL )
Brown (
B )
Orange (
O )
Red (
R )
Theoretical probabilities
With Replacement
Without Replacement
P (2 reds)
P (
R1B2 OR
B1R2 )
P (
R1 AND
G2 )
P (
G2 |
R1 )
P (no yellows)
P (doubles)
P (no doubles)
Note
G2 = green on second pick;
R1 = red on first pick;
B1 = brown on first pick;
B2 = brown on second pick; doubles = both picks are the same colour.
Empirical results
With Replacement
Without Replacement
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
( __ , __ ) ( __ , __ )
Empirical probabilities
With Replacement
Without Replacement
P (2 reds)
P (
R1B2 OR
B1R2 )
P (
R1 AND
G2 )
P (
G2 |
R1 )
P (no yellows)
P (doubles)
P (no doubles)
Discussion questions
Why are the “With Replacement” and “Without Replacement” probabilities different?
Convert
P (no yellows) to decimal format for both Theoretical “With Replacement” and for Empirical “With Replacement”. Round to four decimal places.
Theoretical “With Replacement”:
P (no yellows) = _______
Empirical “With Replacement”:
P (no yellows) = _______
Are the decimal values “close”? Did you expect them to be closer together or farther apart? Why?
If you increased the number of times you picked two M&Ms to 240 times, why would empirical probability values change?
Would this change (see part 3) cause the empirical probabilities and theoretical probabilities to be closer together or farther apart? How do you know?
Explain the differences in what
P (
G1 AND
R2 ) and
P (
R1 |
G2 ) represent. Hint: Think about the sample space for each probability.
Questions & Answers
A golfer on a fairway is 70 m away from the green, which sits below the level of the fairway by 20 m. If the golfer hits the ball at an angle of 40° with an initial speed of 20 m/s, how close to the green does she come?
A mouse of mass 200 g falls 100 m down a vertical mine shaft and lands at the bottom with a speed of 8.0 m/s. During its fall, how much work is done on the mouse by air resistance
Chemistry is a branch of science that deals with the study of matter,it composition,it structure and the changes it undergoes
Adjei
please, I'm a physics student and I need help in physics
Adjanou
chemistry could also be understood like the sexual attraction/repulsion of the male and female elements. the reaction varies depending on the energy differences of each given gender. + masculine -female.
Pedro
A ball is thrown straight up.it passes a 2.0m high window 7.50 m off the ground on it path up and takes 1.30 s to go past the window.what was the ball initial velocity
2. A sled plus passenger with total mass 50 kg is pulled 20 m across the snow (0.20) at constant velocity by a force directed 25° above the horizontal. Calculate (a) the work of the applied force, (b) the work of friction, and (c) the total work.
you have been hired as an espert witness in a court case involving an automobile accident. the accident involved car A of mass 1500kg which crashed into stationary car B of mass 1100kg. the driver of car A applied his brakes 15 m before he skidded and crashed into car B. after the collision, car A s
can someone explain to me, an ignorant high school student, why the trend of the graph doesn't follow the fact that the higher frequency a sound wave is, the more power it is, hence, making me think the phons output would follow this general trend?
Nevermind i just realied that the graph is the phons output for a person with normal hearing and not just the phons output of the sound waves power, I should read the entire thing next time
Joseph
Follow up question, does anyone know where I can find a graph that accuretly depicts the actual relative "power" output of sound over its frequency instead of just humans hearing
Joseph
"Generation of electrical energy from sound energy | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore" ***ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7150687?reload=true
A string is 3.00 m long with a mass of 5.00 g. The string is held taut with a tension of 500.00 N applied to the string. A pulse is sent down the string. How long does it take the pulse to travel the 3.00 m of the string?
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Source:
OpenStax, Introduction to statistics i - stat 213 - university of calgary - ver2015revb. OpenStax CNX. Oct 21, 2015 Download for free at http://legacy.cnx.org/content/col11874/1.3
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