<< Chapter < Page Chapter >> Page >
This module introduces the contingency table as a way of determining conditional probabilities.

A contingency table provides a way of portraying data that can facilitate calculating probabilities. The table helps in determining conditional probabilities quite easily. The table displays sample values in relation to two different variables that may be dependent or contingent on one another. Later on, we will use contingency tables again, but in another manner. Contingincy tables provide a way of portraying data that can facilitate calculating probabilities.

Suppose a study of speeding violations and drivers who use car phones produced the following fictional data:

Speeding violation in the last year No speeding violation in the last year Total
Car phone user 25 280 305
Not a car phone user 45 405 450
Total 70 685 755

The total number of people in the sample is 755. The row totals are 305 and 450. The column totals are 70 and 685. Notice that 305 + 450 = 755 and 70 + 685 = 755 .

Calculate the following probabilities using the table

P(person is a car phone user) =

number of car phone users total number in study = 305 755

P(person had no violation in the last year) =

number that had no violation total number in study = 685 755

P(person had no violation in the last year AND was a car phone user) =

280 755

P(person is a car phone user OR person had no violation in the last year) =

( 305 755 + 685 755 ) - 280 755 = 710 755

P(person is a car phone user GIVEN person had a violation in the last year) =

25 70 (The sample space is reduced to the number of persons who had a violation.)

P(person had no violation last year GIVEN person was not a car phone user) =

405 450 (The sample space is reduced to the number of persons who were not car phone users.)

The following table shows a random sample of 100 hikers and the areas of hiking preferred:

Hiking area preference
Sex The Coastline Near Lakes and Streams On Mountain Peaks Total
Female 18 16 ___ 45
Male ___ ___ 14 55
Total ___ 41 ___ ___

Complete the table.

Hiking area preference
Sex The Coastline Near Lakes and Streams On Mountain Peaks Total
Female 18 16 11 45
Male 16 25 14 55
Total 34 41 25 100

Are the events "being female" and "preferring the coastline" independent events?

Let F = being female and let C = preferring the coastline.

  • P(F AND C) =
  • P(F) P(C) =

Are these two numbers the same? If they are, then F and C are independent. If they are not, then F and C are not independent.

  • P(F AND C) = 18 100 = 0.18
  • P(F) P(C) = 45 100 34 100 = 0.45 0.34 = 0.153

P(F AND C) P(F) P(C) , so the events F and C are not independent.

Find the probability that a person is male given that the person prefers hiking near lakes and streams. Let M = being male and let L = prefers hiking near lakes and streams.

  • What word tells you this is a conditional?
  • Fill in the blanks and calculate the probability: P(___|___) = ___ .
  • Is the sample space for this problem all 100 hikers? If not, what is it?
  • The word 'given' tells you that this is a conditional.
  • P(M|L) = 25 41
  • No, the sample space for this problem is 41.

Find the probability that a person is female or prefers hiking on mountain peaks. Let F = being female and let P = prefers mountain peaks.

  • P(F) =
  • P(P) =
  • P(F AND P) =
  • Therefore, P(F OR P) =
  • P(F) = 45 100
  • P(P) = 25 100
  • P(F AND P) = 11 100
  • P(F OR P) = 45 100 + 25 100 - 11 100 = 59 100

Muddy Mouse lives in a cage with 3 doors. If Muddy goes out the first door, the probability that he gets caught by Alissa the cat is 1 5 and the probability he is not caught is 4 5 . If he goes out the second door, the probability he gets caught by Alissa is 1 4 and the probability he is not caught is 3 4 . The probability that Alissa catches Muddy coming out of the third door is 1 2 and the probability she does not catch Muddy is 1 2 . It is equally likely that Muddy will choose any of the three doors so the probability of choosing each door is 1 3 .

Door choice
Caught or Not Door One Door Two Door Three Total
Caught 1 15 1 12 1 6 ____
Not Caught 4 15 3 12 1 6 ____
Total ____ ____ ____ 1
  • The first entry 1 15 = ( 1 5 ) ( 1 3 ) is P(Door One AND Caught) .
  • The entry 4 15 = ( 4 5 ) ( 1 3 ) is P(Door One AND Not Caught) .

Verify the remaining entries.

Complete the probability contingency table. Calculate the entries for the totals. Verify that the lower-right corner entry is 1.

Door choice
Caught or Not Door One Door Two Door Three Total
Caught 1 15 1 12 1 6 19 60
Not Caught 4 15 3 12 1 6 41 60
Total 5 15 4 12 2 6 1

What is the probability that Alissa does not catch Muddy?

41 60

What is the probability that Muddy chooses Door One OR Door Two given that Muddy is caught by Alissa?

9 19

You could also do this problem by using a probability tree. See the Tree Diagrams (Optional) section of this chapter for examples.

Questions & Answers

A golfer on a fairway is 70 m away from the green, which sits below the level of the fairway by 20 m. If the golfer hits the ball at an angle of 40° with an initial speed of 20 m/s, how close to the green does she come?
Aislinn Reply
cm
tijani
what is titration
John Reply
what is physics
Siyaka Reply
A mouse of mass 200 g falls 100 m down a vertical mine shaft and lands at the bottom with a speed of 8.0 m/s. During its fall, how much work is done on the mouse by air resistance
Jude Reply
Can you compute that for me. Ty
Jude
what is the dimension formula of energy?
David Reply
what is viscosity?
David
what is inorganic
emma Reply
what is chemistry
Youesf Reply
what is inorganic
emma
Chemistry is a branch of science that deals with the study of matter,it composition,it structure and the changes it undergoes
Adjei
please, I'm a physics student and I need help in physics
Adjanou
chemistry could also be understood like the sexual attraction/repulsion of the male and female elements. the reaction varies depending on the energy differences of each given gender. + masculine -female.
Pedro
A ball is thrown straight up.it passes a 2.0m high window 7.50 m off the ground on it path up and takes 1.30 s to go past the window.what was the ball initial velocity
Krampah Reply
2. A sled plus passenger with total mass 50 kg is pulled 20 m across the snow (0.20) at constant velocity by a force directed 25° above the horizontal. Calculate (a) the work of the applied force, (b) the work of friction, and (c) the total work.
Sahid Reply
you have been hired as an espert witness in a court case involving an automobile accident. the accident involved car A of mass 1500kg which crashed into stationary car B of mass 1100kg. the driver of car A applied his brakes 15 m before he skidded and crashed into car B. after the collision, car A s
Samuel Reply
can someone explain to me, an ignorant high school student, why the trend of the graph doesn't follow the fact that the higher frequency a sound wave is, the more power it is, hence, making me think the phons output would follow this general trend?
Joseph Reply
Nevermind i just realied that the graph is the phons output for a person with normal hearing and not just the phons output of the sound waves power, I should read the entire thing next time
Joseph
Follow up question, does anyone know where I can find a graph that accuretly depicts the actual relative "power" output of sound over its frequency instead of just humans hearing
Joseph
"Generation of electrical energy from sound energy | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore" ***ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7150687?reload=true
Ryan
what's motion
Maurice Reply
what are the types of wave
Maurice
answer
Magreth
progressive wave
Magreth
hello friend how are you
Muhammad Reply
fine, how about you?
Mohammed
hi
Mujahid
A string is 3.00 m long with a mass of 5.00 g. The string is held taut with a tension of 500.00 N applied to the string. A pulse is sent down the string. How long does it take the pulse to travel the 3.00 m of the string?
yasuo Reply
Who can show me the full solution in this problem?
Reofrir Reply
Got questions? Join the online conversation and get instant answers!
Jobilize.com Reply
Practice Key Terms 1

Get Jobilize Job Search Mobile App in your pocket Now!

Get it on Google Play Download on the App Store Now




Source:  OpenStax, Engr 2113 ece math. OpenStax CNX. Aug 27, 2010 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col11224/1.1
Google Play and the Google Play logo are trademarks of Google Inc.

Notification Switch

Would you like to follow the 'Engr 2113 ece math' conversation and receive update notifications?

Ask