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The design of a hypothesis test/detector often involves constructing the solution to an optimizationproblem. The optimality criteria used fall into two classes: Bayesian and frequent.

In the Bayesian setup, it is assumed that the a priori probability of each hypothesis occuring( i ) is known. A cost C ij is assigned to each possible outcome: C ij say H i when H j true The optimal test/detector is the one that minimizes the Bayes risk, which is defined to be the expected cost of anexperiment: C i j C ij i say H i when H j true

In the event that we have a binary problem, and both hypotheses are simple , the decision rule that minimizes the Bayes risk can be constructed explicitly. Let usassume that the data is continuous ( i.e. , it has a density) under each hypothesis: H 0 : x f 0 x H 1 : x f 1 x Let R 0 and R 1 denote the decision regions corresponding to the optimal test. Clearly, the optimal test is specified once we specify R 0 and R 1 R 0 .

The Bayes risk may be written

C - i j 0 1 C i j i x R i f j x x R 0 C 00 0 f 0 x C 01 1 f 1 x x R 1 C 10 0 f 0 x C 11 1 f 1 x
Recall that R 0 and R 1 partition the input space: they are disjoint and their union is the full input space. Thus, everypossible input x belongs to precisely one of these regions. In order to minimize the Bayes risk, a measurement x should belong to the decision region R i for which the corresponding integrand in the preceding equationis smaller. Therefore, the Bayes risk is minimized by assigning x to R 0 whenever 0 C 00 f 0 x 1 C 01 f 1 x 0 C 10 f 0 x 1 C 11 f 1 x and assigning x to R 1 whenever this inequality is reversed. The resulting rule may beexpressed concisely as x f 1 x f 0 x H 0 H 1 0 C 10 C 00 1 C 01 C 11 Here, x is called the likelihood ratio , is called the threshold, and the overall decision rule is called the Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT). The expressionon the right is called a threshold .

An instructor in a course in detection theory wants to determine if a particular student studied for his last test.The observed quantity is the student's grade, which we denote by r . Failure may not indicate studiousness: conscientious students may fail the test. Define the modelsas

  • 0 : did not study
  • 1 : did study
The conditional densities of the grade are shown in .
Conditional densities for the grade distributions assuming that a student did not study( 0 ) or did ( 1 ) are shown in the top row. The lower portion depicts the likelihood ratio formed from these densities.
Based on knowledge of student behavior, the instructor assigns a priori probabilities of 0 1 4 and 1 3 4 . The costs C i j are chosen to reflect the instructor's sensitivity to student feelings: C 01 1 C 10 (an erroneous decision either way is given the same cost) and C 00 0 C 11 . The likelihood ratio is plotted in and the threshold value , which is computed from the a priori probabilities and the costs to be 1 3 , is indicated. The calculations of this comparison can be simplified in an obvious way. r 50 0 1 1 3 or r 0 1 50 3 16.7 The multiplication by the factor of 50 is a simple illustration of the reduction of the likelihood ratio to asufficient statistic. Based on the assigned costs and a priori probabilities, the optimum decision rule says the instructor must assume that thestudent did not study if the student's grade is less than 16.7; if greater, the student is assumed to have studieddespite receiving an abysmally low grade such as 20. Note that as the densities given by each model overlap entirely:the possibility of making the wrong interpretation always haunts the instructor. However, no other procedure will be better!

A special case of the minimum Bayes risk rule, the minimum probability of error rule , is used extensively in practice, and is discussed at length inanother module.

Problems

Denote declare H 1 when H 0 true and declare H 1 when H 1 true . Express the Bayes risk C - in terms of and , C i j , and i . Argue that the optimal decision rule is not altered by setting C 00 C 11 0 .

Suppose we observe x such that x . Argue that it doesn't matter whether we assign x to R 0 or R 1 .

Questions & Answers

A golfer on a fairway is 70 m away from the green, which sits below the level of the fairway by 20 m. If the golfer hits the ball at an angle of 40° with an initial speed of 20 m/s, how close to the green does she come?
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Nevermind i just realied that the graph is the phons output for a person with normal hearing and not just the phons output of the sound waves power, I should read the entire thing next time
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Follow up question, does anyone know where I can find a graph that accuretly depicts the actual relative "power" output of sound over its frequency instead of just humans hearing
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A string is 3.00 m long with a mass of 5.00 g. The string is held taut with a tension of 500.00 N applied to the string. A pulse is sent down the string. How long does it take the pulse to travel the 3.00 m of the string?
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Source:  OpenStax, Signal and information processing for sonar. OpenStax CNX. Dec 04, 2007 Download for free at http://cnx.org/content/col10422/1.5
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