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For China , the average return on equity in 2010 for companies wholly or partly owned by the state was only 4% (in spite of the fact that these firms receive cheap credit from Chinese SOE s in banking).
The profit performance of Chinese SOE s has been abysmal. James McGregor, p Properly interpreted, the real return on equity invested in Chinese SOE s was a negative 6.3% from 2001-09 (considering reported SOE s profits minus subsidies to SOE s ).
Another estimate for 2011 revealed that while the average SOE reported return on equity was 8.2%, the real return was a minus 1.5% The Economist , June 25, 2011. (factoring in the subsidized borrowing of SOE s from state SOE s in banking and their access to land at below market prices).
What is the meaning of a negative real return on equity? It means that, in effect many SOE s in China are destroying capital.
India has 217 SOE s owned by central government. And then there are the 850 SOE s owned by regional governments. Central government enterprises, 59 made losses (21% of firms. Some very large SOE s made huge loss in India). The combined losses of two very large SOE s – Air India and MTNL (Telecom) - was $2 billion in 2010. Even so, the government of India claims that the rate of return on equity invested in their SOE s is 14-15%.
This conclusion has been borne out in numerous studies over the last thirty years, including some of my own. Recent studies reveal similar patterns. To illustrate, a very large World Bank study in 2009, 926 SOE s and 301 private sector firms around the world in electricity distribution and water supply and sanitation (1200 firms) clearly showed significant overstaffing in the SOE s relative to the private firms. IBRD - Cite Regarding employment in water and electric enterprises, the study revealed clearly that SOE s used 23% more employees that comparable private firms.
This marked tendency for many SOE s to use more labor than needed is particularly problematic given this fact: Investment patterns in SOE s all over the world tend to be more capital intensive relative to private firms in the same industry. Why? One reason is that SOE S in Banking often provide the other SOE S with cheap credit, making capital cheap, thereby biasing choice of technique or production toward capital intensive methods of production.
This pattern of marked capital intensity in SOE s has been observed in South Korea, Ghana, Canada, India, Bolivia, Indonesia, Columbia and Brazil, among others. In China, one consequence of the bias toward capital intensity has been a sharp decline in labor’s share in national income “The Global Decline of the Labor Share,” Loukas Karabarbounis&Brent Neiman, NBER Working Paper No. 19136, June 2013. over the years 1992-2009. Labor’s share in N.I. fell from 45% to 37% - the lowest share for labor in any county (c.f. U.S. and Germany – 60%).
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